With Nearly 95 Morning and 171 Evening Rush-Hour Fatal Crashes Every Year, New York Has One of the Safest Commutes in America

Key Takeaways

  • New York ranks #3 in the nation for rush-hour safety, with just 1.34 fatal crashes per 100,000 residents, 56.2% lower than the national average of 3.06.
  • Between 2020 and 2024, New York averaged 265.8 rush-hour fatal crashes every year, with 94.6 occurring during the morning commute (6 am–9 am) and 171.2 during the evening commute (5 pm–8 pm).
  • Despite having one of the nation’s largest populations, New York’s dense transportation network, extensive public transit options, and shorter driving distances help keep rush-hour fatal crash rates among the lowest in the country.

For New York commuters, the daily drive to and from work is among the safest in America. At just 1.34 rush-hour fatal crashes per 100,000 residents, the state ranks third nationwide, behind only Rhode Island and Massachusetts, and well below the national average of 3.06.

An analysis conducted by Beck & Beck examined rush-hour fatal crash data across all 50 U.S. states from 2020 to 2024, drawing on average annual population figures for the same period. Morning rush hour covers Monday through Friday, 6 am to 9 am; evening rush hour covers Monday through Friday, 5 pm to 8 pm. Morning and evening totals were combined and normalized against population to produce an Average Annual Total Rush-Hour Fatal Crashes per 100,000 Population figure, with states ranked from lowest to highest.

New York at a Glance

Metric Value
National Rank (Rush-Hour Fatal Crashes per 100,000 Population) #3
Avg. Annual Morning Rush Fatal Crashes (6 am–9 am) 94.6
Avg. Annual Evening Rush Fatal Crashes (5 pm–8 pm) 171.2
Avg. Annual Total Rush-Hour Fatal Crashes 265.8

Top 10 Safest States for Rush-Hour Driving

Table 1: Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and New York Record the Nation’s Lowest Per-Capita Rush-Hour Fatal Crash Rates

Rank State Avg. Annual Morning Rush Fatal Crashes Avg. Annual Evening Rush Fatal Crashes Avg. Annual Total Rush-Hour Fatal Crashes Rush-Hour Fatal Crash Rate (per 100k)
1 Rhode Island 4.8 8.0 12.8 1.16
2 Massachusetts 29.8 54.2 84.0 1.20
3 New York 94.6 171.2 265.8 1.34
4 Hawaii 7.2 16.2 23.4 1.62
5 New Jersey 56.6 104.6 161.2 1.73
6 Minnesota 43.8 64.8 108.6 1.89
7 Connecticut 20.8 49.8 70.6 1.95
8 Maryland 43.2 79.4 122.6 1.98
9 New Hampshire 9.6 18.8 28.4 2.04
10 Illinois 95.0 168.6 263.6 2.08

New York ranks third nationwide with 1.34 rush-hour fatal crashes per 100,000 residents, 15.5% higher than Rhode Island (1.16), 11.7% higher than Massachusetts (1.20), and 17.3% lower than fourth-ranked Hawaii (1.62). Evening rush hour accounts for the larger share of fatalities, with 171.2 crashes annually compared to 94.6 during the morning commute.

How New York Compares to the Nation’s Highest-Ranking States

Table 2: Average Annual Rush-Hour Fatal Crashes per 100,000 Population, 2020–2024

State National Rank Avg. Annual Total Rush-Hour Fatal Crashes Rush-Hour Fatal Crash Rate (per 100k) New York vs. State
New York #3 265.8 1.34 1.0x
South Carolina #47 240.4 4.54 3.39x lower
New Mexico #48 98.8 4.66 3.48x lower
Arkansas #49 157.4 5.16 3.85x lower
Mississippi #50 178.8 6.07 4.53x lower

New York’s rush-hour fatal crash rate is more than three times lower than South Carolina’s and New Mexico’s, nearly four times lower than Arkansas’s, and more than four and a half times lower than Mississippi’s.

New York’s Rush-Hour Fatal Crashes: Morning vs. Evening

Table 3: Average Annual Rush-Hour Fatal Crashes, 2020–2024

Time Period New York Avg. Annual Fatal Crashes National Average Annual Fatal Crashes Safety Advantage vs. National Average
Morning Rush (6 am–9 am) 94.6 68.6 37.9% higher
Evening Rush (5 pm–8 pm) 171.2 120.68 41.9% higher
Total Rush Hour 265.8 189.28 40.4% higher
Rush-Hour Fatal Crashes per 100,000 Population 1.34 3.06 56.2% lower

Although New York records more rush-hour fatal crashes than the national average in absolute terms, its large population means the per-capita risk remains exceptionally low. At 1.34 rush-hour fatal crashes per 100,000 residents, New York’s rate is 56.2% lower than the national average, making it the third-safest state for commuters nationwide.

Methodology

The study examined rush-hour fatal crash data across all 50 U.S. states from 2020 to 2024, drawing on average annual population figures for the same period. Morning rush hour covers Monday through Friday, 6 am to 9 am; evening rush hour covers Monday through Friday, 5 pm to 8 pm. Morning and evening totals were combined and normalized against population to produce an Average Annual Total Rush-Hour Fatal Crashes per 100,000 Population figure, with states ranked from lowest to highest.

Data Sources

Rush Hour Crash Data:

https://cdan.dot.gov/query 

Research Datasheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1wZpU_wL9Ih9fZgQAmt44xMC67Z8Ly4MNNalA6gjB5_c/edit?gid=1892653510#gid=1892653510 

Study By:
https://becklawmo.com/ 

About Beck & Beck

Beck & Beck is a Missouri-based law firm specializing in vehicle accident representation, including motorcycle and car crash cases. The firm assists clients with injury claims, medical care coordination, insurance negotiations, and accident-related litigation.

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About the Author: Benjamin Vespa